WORLD IN ARMS

Poverty Bay Herald, Volume LXVI, Issue 19900, 30 March 1939, Page 6

WORLD IN ARMS

THE EMPIRE IN DANGER IS NEW ZEALAND READY? QUESTION’ OF DEFENCE POSITION OF OUR SHIPPING! By the New Zealand Defence League The peril in which the British Empire stands to-day is emphasised by the acceleration with which Great Bitain is proceed ng with her prodigious programme cf rearmament and the unprecedented effort which Australia is making in preparing for possible contingencies. That that peril is both grave and imminent cannot be disputed, and in the event cf another world war breaking out within the next few months there are few competent authorities with a correct knowledge of the present state of the Empire’s defences who would venture to predict the outcome. The situation, frankly, is far more serious than it was in August, 1914, and it is high time that the people of New Zealand aroused themselves to a' sense of their responsibilities. New Grouping of Powers These are - serious statements to make, but unfortunately they are only too well founded. In 1914-18 Germany, backed by Austria-Hungary, Turkey ‘and Bulgaria, kept the whole world‘at bay, and, completely knocking out Russia and Rumania, nearly won the world war, both navaliy and militarily, in 1918. Early in that year, by means of her unrestricted submarine campaign, she almost brought the Allies tc their knees, notwithstanding that she then had almost the whole of the world’s naval power concentrated against her—the British, American, French, Italian and Japanese navies, and those of the lesser naval Powers. At the same time, in March-Juric, 1918, she went very near to winning on the Western Front. She gave in only when her supply of man-power ran out, and internal revolution, largely influenced by the naval blockade, totally incapacitated her.

Change to Germany’s Advantage What is the position now? Thanks to our policy' in setting an example to the rest of the world by proceeding with disarmament —a policy which only one first-class Power, America, imitated—the position has changed to German’s advantage. She has rearmed on a colossal scale, has occupied the Rhine area and completely fortified her Western front, has swallowed Austria, Czechoslovakia and Memel, is backed apparently, navaliy and militarily, by Italy and Japan, and appears to have certain other European States under her sway. Germany and Italy likewise have Nationalist Spain under heavy' obligations to themselves. Germany is conscripting her .80.000,000 population, and six months ago arrived at the stage when she considered that she was in a position to defy the rest of Europe, and placed her rapidly-in-creasing armies actually in the field -and be it noted, this time with a full array of tanks and all the other devices of mechanical warfare. That was in September last, when her action resulted in the “Peace of Munich” and in Germany’s "peaceful absorption” of Sudetenland with all its first-class artillery and other military equipment. Annies oh the March Now, in repudiation of her own signed agreement with Great Britain, France, and Italy, her armies are again on the march, and, acting in concert with Hungary, have recentlytaken Czechoslovakia with all that State’s vast military and aerial equipment, the great Skoda armament works, gold and other assets. She has likewise absorbed Memel and is now menacing Rumania —in defiance of the whole world, which, apparently, is unable to do anything more at present than to express moral indignation.

Under treaty with Great Britain. Germany is now building a navy onethird of Britain’s strength with submarines up to parity. This development is of the greatest importance when it is remembered that Germany’s naval power will be wholly concentrated in the North Sea, while Italy, possibly, may be able to secure command of the Mediterranean and Japan, which has been building beyond the 3-5-5 Washington Treaty ratio, will be most formidable in the Pacific. Peril of Our Mercantile Marine

Let these factors be duly weighed up and see where we have got to. The only answer can be that, until the Empire’s defences are placed on an adequate footing, the British Empire, in the event ot war breaking out in the immediate future, is in a position of real danger. But that, again, unfortunately, is very far from being an accurate appreciation of tiie true position. Since 1914-18 a new arid most formidable form of attack has been developed—aerial bombing. In this to-day Germany is admittedly supreme, supreme to the extent that, backed by the formidable Italian air force, the BerlinRome axis dominates the present position in Europe. Germany in this sphere is not only supreme now, but her production capacity is greater than ever. Will Great Britain, France and America, the democratic Powers be able to catch up and overtake her? Will they be given the time in which to- do so? Upon the answers to those two questions possibly depends the fate of the British Emipre and of the whole world. New Form of Attack It is this factor, indeed, that makes the present situation so perilous for the British Empire. The peril lies, not only in the bombing of London and other great citi'es, but also jn what advantage Germany’s aerial superiority, especially with the element of surprise, will give her in attacking British shipping, aerodromes and arsenals. Remembering what happened in the unrestricted submarine campaign in 1917-18, even witli the improved anti-submarine devices that have been developed since, no one can say what will be the outcome of attacks on our shipping to-day with modern submarines acting in concert with aerial superiority. If the issue goes in favour of Britain well and good, if not —i

Assuming only partial success on Germany’s part the position created wilt be serious, recent cables from Home having informed us that the British mercantile marine to-day is now 2000 ships short of what it was in 1914. Security of United Kingdom The outlying posts of the British Empire have been clearly warned as to the positim. Speaking in the House

of Commons on March 7 last year, the Prime Minister, Mr Neville Chamberlain, uttered these momentous words: — “The corner stone of our defence policy must be the security of the United Kingdom. Our main strength lies in the resources of manpower, productive capacity, and endurance in this country, and unless these can be maintained, not only in peace, but in the early stages of war, when they will be the subject of continuous attack, our defeat will be certain whatever might be the fate of secondary spheres elsewhere.” ‘'Our third objective js the defence of British territories oversea from attack, whether by sea or land or air . . . Taking them in order of priority they are not as vital as the defence of our own country because, so long as we are undefeated at Home, although we sustain losses overseas, we may have an opportunity of making them good hereafter.'' Were We Ready in September?

This means clearly that New Zealand must be prepared to defend her own shores. Were we ready when the crisis came in September last? If not, are we any more ready now t:> meet a situation such as Mr. Chamberlain lias envisaged? Regretfully it must be answered that we are riot.

Is the Government to be blamed for it? The correct answer is that it is responsible, but the jusl answer is that in a democratic country, when it is a matter dealing witli defence policy, no Government can go ahead of public opinion. If, is that public dpinirn which requites development and expression now.