Lambing Estimates for 1938.

New Zealand Journal of Agriculture, Volume 57, Issue 6, 20 December 1938, Page 509

Lambing Estimates for 1938.

Decrease of 4 per Cent, in Dominion Totals.

Contributed by the Live-stock Division.

THE annual lambing estimates have in the past provided a reasonably accurate forecast of the seasonal lambing, but in view of the incidence of so-called facial eczema this will not be the case this year. The estimated number of lambs is based on the number of breeding-ewes in each county as at the 30th April, and although in the estimated -percentage of lambs due allowance has been made for the effects of facial eczema it has not been possible to make any adjustment for losses of breeding-ewes subsequent to the 30th April last because of the varying duration and severity of the epidemic in different districts. , The figures for the Auckland Province and, to a lesserextent, the Wellington district in Taranaki and Manawatu are therefore likely to prove inaccurate and unduly optimistic.

District Estimates.

County. Breeding-ewes. Estimated Percentage of Lambs. Estimated Number of Lambs. Auckland District. Mangonui . . . . 32,146 65-00 20 , 894 Whangaroa 12,940 63-25 I 8,185 Hokianga 61,461 68-37 42,02 Bay of Islands . . . 54.465 65-3O 35,566 Hobson 70,506 65-7 o 46,322 Otamatea 68,529 71-26 48,834 Whangarei ... 103,736 72-84 75,561 Rodney 72,216 71 -21 5G425 Waitemata 69,001 69-65 48,059 Great Barrier . . . . 7,595 53-22 4042 Eden . . 2,467 83-69 2,064 Manukau . . , 60,058 68-oo 40,839 Franklin 88.747 56-00 49, 698 Raglan. . 266,774 72-96 194,638 Waikato . .‘ . 93.243 60-95 56,831 Waipa . . 147,240 66-98 98,621 Piako . . 103,485 56-29 58,251 Waitomo . . • • 269,511 65-00 175,182 Kawhia 54.666 63-00 34,440 Otorohanga ' . . 99,774 62-00 61,860 Ohura . . 92,021 73-50 67,635 Kaitieke 53,738 76-60 41,163 Taumarunui . . . . 83,219 68-30 56,838 Coromandel 39,979 64 • 60 25,826 Thames . 10,864 76-30 8,289 Hauraki Plains . . 9,029 73-28 . 6,616 Ohinemuri .1.1,674 74-18 8,660 Matamata 142,691 63-33 90,366 Tauranga 66,920 71-50 47,848 Whakatane 35,235 73-12 25,763 Opotiki . . . . 49.uo 74-00 36,341 Rotorua . . 56,77.4 88 • 00 49,961 Taupo . . .. . . 8,017 89-00 7,135 Totals . . 2,397.831 67-80 1,625,774

County. Breeding-ewes. Estimated Percentage of Lambs. Estimated Number of Lambs. Gisborne-Hawke’s Bay District. Waiapu ■ . . 252,080 73'00 184,018 Cook . . . . ■ 468,491 83-00 388,475 Waikohu 372,004 78-00 290,163 Matakaoa 62,646 75-oo 46,985 Uawa . . . . . . 125, 296 82-00 102,743 Wairoa. . 388,721 72-00 279,879 Hawke's Bay . .. 915.129 78-00 713 800 Waipawa . . 353.072 86-oo 303,642 Waipukurau 125,706 90-00 H3,I35 Patangata .. . . 482,109 81 -oo 390,508 Weber . . 54058 90-00 48,832 Dannevirke . . 239,688 97-00 232,497 Woodville 72,114 90-00 64,903 Pahiatua ' . . 144.998 90-00 130,498 Akitio . . . . .. . 154.565 89-00 137,563 Totals 4,210,877 81-39 3,427,641 Wellington District. Clifton . . . . 62,461 78-00 48,720 Taranaki . . 21,124 93-0° 19,645 Inglewood . . . . 36,203 85-00 30,773 Egmont 22,134 84-00 18,593 Stratford . . . ., 70.915 76-00 53,895 Whangamomona 47,74 77-00 36,740 Eltham 47-759 89-00 42,506 Hawera 76,042 86-oo 65,396 Waimate West . . 3.965 91-00 3,608 Patea . . 202,174 91-00 183,978 Waitotara 140,205. 82-00 114,968 Waimarino 162,285 .82-00 133.074Wanganui . . 286,628 79-00 226,436 Rangitikei 920,716 91 -oo 837,852 Orona . . . .. 192,794 ' 98 • 00 188,938 Kairanga . . 101,314 90-00 91,183 Kiwitea . . ■ . . 211 ,294 89-00 188,052 Pohangina . . 110,868 93- 00 103,107 Manawatu 129,500 89-00 115,255 Horowhenua 110,865 77-00 85,366 Hutt . . 75,833 . 76-00 57,633 Makara 48,378 84-00 40,638 Featherston . . 317,041 85-00 . 269,485 South Wairarapa 158,014 87-00 137,472 Masterton . . 321 ,108 8o-oo ‘ 256,886 Castlepoint 95,722 8o-oo 76,578 Eketahuna . . 111,426 79-00 88,027 Mauriceville . . 42,639 76-00 32,406 Totals 4,127,121 85-94 3,547,210

\ County. Breeding-ewes. Estimated Percentage of Lambs. Estimated Number of Lambs. Marlborough - Nelson - Westland District. Waimea ..' 170, 120 75-67 128,729 Takaka • .. 27,500 76 • 82 21,125 Collingwood ... . . 13-293 77-03 10,239 Buller . . . . 3.040 84-00 • 2,553 Inangahua . . . . . II ,198 101-oo 11,309 Murchison .. . . . ■ •33.920 75'00 25,440 Grey . . . . 24.553 97-00 23,816 Westland 38,050 102-00 38,811 Sounds . ... . . " 100,732 77'51 78,077 Marlborough . . ... 203,962 82-48 168,227 Awatere '. . 209,849 89-18 187,143 Totals 836,217 83-16 695,469 Canterbury - Kaikoura I district. Kaikoura 114.511 81 • 00 92,753 Amuri . . ... 236,873 73-oo 172,917 Cheviot . . 148,424 91-00 135,065 Waipara ... 292,082 84 • 00 245,348 Ashley . . ... 66,655 82-00 54,657 Kowai .. 68,930 95-0° 65,483 Oxford. . 82,104 91-00 74,714 Rangiora . . 38,651 96-00 37,104 Eyre .. . . 58,325 92-00 53,659 Tawera. . .. . .. . . 58,524 83-00 4,574 Malvern .. 130,321 88-oo 114,682 Paparua 31,418 96-00 : 3O,l6l Waimairi .. 4,116 97-00 3,925 Heathcote .. : . . . 10,666 92-00 9,812 Akaroa. . . .... . . 101,288 104-00 105,339 Mt. Herbert . . . . 43.974 95-0° 41.775 Wairewa 74,977 99-00 74,227 Halswell 14,020 89-00 12,477 Springs.. . .; 30,316 103-00 ,222 Ellesmere 92,843 114-00 105,841 Selwyn. . .. .. 162,065 87-00 140,996 Ashburton . . 769,914 93-0° 716,020 Geraldine . . . . 255,103 84-00 214,286 Levels . . . . 168,372 115-00 193,627 Mackenzie ... 323,760 84-00 271,958 Waimate . . . . 462,593 97-00 448,7!5 Chatham Islands 43,768 73-oo 3*,95° Totals . . ■ . , 3,884,593 90-80 3,527,287 Otago District. 0 District. Waitaki ' .. 451,158 89-00 401,530 Maniototo . . 249,689 83-00 207,241 Vincent .. . . 257,036 84-00 215,910 Waihemo . . . . 105,076 87 • 00 91,416 Waikouaiti . . . . 68,283 97-00 66,234 Taieri ... . . .. 170,488 86 ■ 00 : 146,619 Peninsula ... ... 1,3,081 98-00 12,819 Clutha . . .... : 360,010 95 * 00 342,009 Tuapeka . . : ■;. 303,453 90 • 00 273,107 Bruce .. 210686 87-00 . 183,296 Lake .. . .... . . 136,625 78-00 106,567 Southland . . .' 1,358,859 101-oo ■1,372,447 Wallace .. . . 521,196 77-00 401,320 Stewart Island ... ’ . . 1,587 ’8o-oo 1,269 Totals .. 4,207,227 90-83 3,821,784

County, Breeding-ewes. Estimated Percentage of Lambs. Estimated N umber of Lambs. District Totals. Marlborough . . ■ .. 836,217 83-16 695,469 Canterbury . . .. 3,884,593 90-80 3,527,287 Otago .. . . 4,207,227 90-83 3,821,784 South Island 8,928,037 90 • IO 8,044,540 North Island . .. . 10,735,829 80 • II 8, 600 ,625 Dominion 663,866 84-64 16,645,165

District. '. Number of . ■ Breedingewes. Estimated Average Percentage of Lambing. Estimated Number of Lambs. Auckland 2,397,831 67 • 80 1,625,774 Gisborne-Hawke’s Bay 4,210,877 81-39 3,427,641 Wellington-West Coast 4,127, 121 85-94 3,547,210 Marlborough - Nelson-West-836,217 83-16 695,469 land -• Canterbury-Kaikoura 3,884,593 90 • 80 3,527,287 Otago-Southland . . 4,207,227 90-83 3,821,784 Dominion 19 , 663 ,866 84-64 : 16,645,165 Year. Number of Estimated Average Estimated Actual Number of . Breeding-ewes. Estimated Average Percentage Estimated Number of Actual Number of Lambs Lambs. Lambs of ■ Lambing. tailed. ■ North Island. 1938 10,735,829 80 -II 8,600,625 ,600,625 1937 10,570,388 ' 86-52 9,145,849 9,401,496 1936 10,300,826 90-50 9,322,476 9,423,240 1935 9,697.231 83-68 8,114,361 8,500,075 1934 9,524.065 88-70 8,447,643 8,555,477 1933 . •• 9.318,943 91-23 8,502,050 ,502,050 8,385,569 8,385,569 South Island. 1938 8,928,037 90-10 8,044,540 1937 8,761 689 91-35 8,003,668 ,003,668 7.939,4 18 7,939,418 1936 8,368,135 90-10 7,539,576 7,442,781 1935 115,186 89-45 7,259,281 7,196,542 1934 8,047,361 89-88 7,232,750 7,134,015 1933 7.890,756 88 • 14 6,955,252 6,889, 128 Dominion. 1938 19,663,866 84-64 16,645,165 1937 19,332,07788 • 71 17,149,517 17,340,914 1936 18,668,961 90-32 16,862,052 16,866,021 1935 17,812,417 86-31 15,373,642 15,696,617 1934 17,571,426 89-24 15,680,398 ,680,398 15,689,492 15,689,492 1933 17,209,697 89-82 15,457,302 15,274,697

The following table gives the estimates of the current (1938) season’s lambing for the several sheep districts :-