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OTAGO SEATS

CANDIDATES' PROSPECTS THE DUNEDIN SOUTH CONTEST (By Telesraph.) , (From Our Special Correspondent.) DUNEDIN, This Day. ■ With "tho exception'of the contest for Dunedin' South, there' has been very little stir-in the elections for the city seats' since your correspondent's last review of the prospects of the. electors in the Otago district, and with the 14th only a week off there is not likely to be any groat change in the following forecast: Oamaru—Mr. E. P. Lee (Reform). ; Waitaki—Mr,: P. Bitch.ener (Reform).. Dunedin North—Mr.' J. W. Munro (Labour). Dunedin West—Hon. W. D. Stewart (Reform). . Dunedin Central —Sir Charles- Statham Dunedin South —Mr. W. B. Tavomer (United) or Mr. Hall (Labour). Chalmers—Mr. A. E. Ansel! (Reform). Central Otago . — Mr. Bodkin (United). Clutha—Mr. Waitc-(Reform). This should give fivo to Reform, one, if ."not two, to Labour, and one, if not two, to.'the . United Party, with Sir. Charles Statham returned as an Independent. The only doubtful seat in the city at present would seem to bo Dunedin South, which has always been a Liberal-Labour seat,.and since Mr. Taverner (Mayor of Dunedin) opened his campaign a week ago the interest has increased considerably in this electorate. He has had most enthusiastic meeting's, and hopes to receive the bulk of, the support accorded Mr. Sidey. Tho former member always received a largo Labour vote, but now that he has retired 'Labour expects that that vote will go to its. candidate, Mr. Hall. The Reform candidate, Mr. Todd, the president of the New Zealand Alliance, will have tho advantage of the split vote, and in tlicso circumstances it is always on tho cards that there may be a surprise. It is certainly a' Very interesting triangular contest, with the supporters of the three candidates all confident of success. However, as the electorate is mainly composed of working people, tho contest should . finally bo fought out betweon Mr. Taverner and Mr. Hall. Mr. Taverner will receivo the Liquor vote, and Mr. Todd's strong Prohibition views do not help his chances. ' ' Sir Charles Statham (Central) and tho Hon. W. D.. Stewart (West) have both addressed'many successful meetings, and their return is practically assured, particularly ■ the" former. Dunedin North is another interesting election. Mr. Tapley (Reform) has been subjected to much heckling at his meetings, and has not had the support fie had three years ago, during the Exhibition period, when, he was Mayor of Dunedin. On the other hand Mr. Munro (Labour) and an oxTmcmber for this electorate, has very solid backing from the ranks of Labour, which is strong in tho north end of the city, same as in the south. Mr. Smith (United) has made a. very favourable impression on tho platform, but ho is virtually unknown, and came into tho field some-, what on the late side. To sum up, Dunedin South is really tho only seat which has the electors guessing. Chalmers, the nearest electorate outside the city,, returned a Reform candidate in Mr. Dickson for a, number of years, and though Mr. Walls (the United candidate, and Mayor of Mosgiel) and Mr. Campbell (Labour) are both fairly well known,' there is little reason to doubt that Mr. Ansell, the Reform candidate, will top the poll. Reform also has a pretty sure seat with Mr. Waite (Clutha), and Mr. Lee (Oamaru) and Mr. Bitchener (Waitaki) are reported from the north to be still gaining ground. The hardest electorate of all to work is Central Otago, on account of it being so widely . scattered. Mr. Bodkin (United) and Mr. Ritchio (Reform) aro both prominent public men in Otago Central,' but Mr. Bodkin's supporters are hopeful of getting a big lift from the followers of Mr. Horn, who, had his health permitted, was sure to havo been again returned. . I Sir Joseph Ward will speak hero on Saturday night. „ -'

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Bibliographic details

OTAGO SEATS, Evening Post, Volume CVI, Issue 101, 8 November 1928

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633

OTAGO SEATS Evening Post, Volume CVI, Issue 101, 8 November 1928

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