PRICKING THE CARD.
WESTLAND PROSPECTS. NELSON AND WAIRAU. (By Telegraph.—Special to "Star.") CHRISTCHURCH, this day. Of the twelve Canterbury electorates, seven were represented by Government candidates in the last Parliament and five by Labour. The Kaiapoi electorate, which, in 1931, gave Mr. R. W. Hawke (Government) a majority of 1414 votes over the Rev. J. K. Archer (Labour), is one in.which the result is considered to be doubtful. Mr. Hawke is opposed this year. by Mr. C. Morgan Williams (Labour) and Mr. A. A. McLachlan (National Liberal), and vote-splitting may favour the Labour candidate.
Iu 1931 the Prime Minister, Mr. Forbes, had the distinction of being returned for the Huruhui seat by the largest majority of any candidate in New Zealand. ' This year he cannot expect to win by such a big margin, but it is considered that bis position is secure. v •,. Messrs. H. T. Armstrong (Christchurch East), E. J. ,Howard (Christchurch South), T. H. McGombs (Lyttelton) and D. G. Sullivan (Avon) appear to be safely entrenched in Labour strongholds' and . are not in danger of . defeat. Lyttelt.on, however, lias been a marginal seat for -so long that Mr. McCombs, in the absence of support from Labour's flying squad, may find that his majority at the by-election in July last will be reduced. The National Government candidate (Mr. S. F. Marshall) came into the field late, but he has created a favourable impression and will poll well.
In Christcliurcli South, Mr. T. Milliken (National Government) is doing well on the platform, but Mr. Howard's majority of 2798 votes in 1931 makes this electorate look a safe proposition for Labour.
OTHER CHRISTCHURCH SEATS. Mr. S. G. Holland, who has succeeded lijs father as the National Government candidate for Christchurch North, should win by a comfortable margin, though his two opponents, Mr. D. F. Dennehy (Liberal-Democrat) and Mr. R. M. Macfarlane (Labour) should not be taken too cheaply. The contest in Riccarton presents a puzzle to election prophets. There are four candidates, the sitting Government member (Mr. H. S. S. Kylo) being opposed by Messrs. F. G. Dunn (Democrat), G. T. Thurston (Labour) atfd J. E. Colechin (Independent). Mr. Kyle can be expected to consolidate the whole of the National Government support, which in the Riccarton electorate is such a considerable force that it should carry him again to the top of the poll. Mid-Canterbury Prospects.
Three political novices are fighting ; out the battle in Mid-Canterbury, the ! seat having become vacant on the death of Mr. J. Connolly (Government), who, in 1931, defeated Mr. David Jones, at that time Minister of Agriculture. Mr. James Carr, a farmer of Methven, is ; tKe National Government candidate, aud his opponents are Mr. W. H. Woods, the Mayor of Ashburton (Democrat) and Mr. . H. E. Herring, engineering instructor at .the Ashburton Technical School : (Labour). Messrs. Woods and Herring are expected to poll better than Mr. Carr in the borough of Ashburton, but the solid farming vote will probably go to Mr. Carr, giving him a sufficient marI gin to win comfortably. < Temuka in Doubt. ' Mr. T. D. Burnett (National Government) has held the Temuka seat for so long that he can »rely upon a large ' measure of support, but. this year ho is up against such strong opposition that the result of the contest is in doubt. His principal opponent is Mr. T. H. I Langford, who has stood against him on three former occasions as a Liberal, but has now joined forces with the Labour party.- There is also a Democrat, Mr. J. Cartwright, but reports from the electorate state that he is not a considerable factor. The votes .that Mr. Cartwright polls will probably help Mr. Langford more than Mr. Burnett. I Timaru and Waitaki. I In Timaru the Kev. Clyde Carr (Lab- ! our), who was returned as a minority j representative in 1931, is now meeting with stronger opposition in the person of Mr. William Thomas, former rector ' of the Timaru Boys' High School, who !is -popular in the district. Mr.. Carr, , however, has been an assiduous worker for his electorate and is expected to I win, but his majority may be small.
The contest in Waitaki is between the Hon. John Bitchener, Minister of Public Works, who has held the seat since 1919, and Messrs. D. Barnes (Labour) and N. L. Knell (Democrat). Both Messrs. Barnes and Knell will poll well, but the personal popularity of Mr. Bitchener should carry him through again. WEST COAST SEATS.
! Buller is one of the safest Labour 1 seats in the Dominion and the supporters of Mr. P. C. Webb aro confident that he will be returned by a ; large majority. i The Westland seat is not such a safe proposition for the retiring Labour mem. ber ( Mr. James O'Brien, and he has had 1 to undertake a vigorous campaign, but he does not appear to be in danger of defeat. ' ~ , Uncertainty in Motueka. There is a straight-out fight in Motueka between the retiring National Government member (Mr. K. J. HolyJ oake) and a Labour candidate, Mr. R. J. ( L. York, the Mayor of Motueka. Reports from the electorate suggest that Mr. Holyoake has not consolidated his position, and a close contest is expected, with the odds slightly in favour of Mr. York. Nelson and Wairau. Mr. H. Atmore (Independent) has another hard fight on hand in Nelson against Mr. H. Everett (National Government), who ran Mr. Atmore to within a hundred votes four years ago. Both are capable campaigners and it would not be surprising if on this occasion Mr. Everett turned the tables on Mr. Atmore, who has been the subject of severe criticism for the changes he has made in his political allegiances.
Wairau is an electorate which keeps the political prophets guessing. There ai'e four candidates, the retiring Government member, Mr. E. F. Healy, being opposed by Messrs. M. McKenzie (Democrat), E. P. Meaclien (Labour), and M. W. Grace (Independent). The" fight is really between Messrs. Healy, McKenzie aiul Meaclien, and the result is much in doubt. Desperate efforts are being made by the Labour party to win this seat. y*.
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CANTERBURY., Auckland Star, Volume LXVI, Issue 280, 26 November 1935
CANTERBURY. Auckland Star, Volume LXVI, Issue 280, 26 November 1935
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