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Mr H. G. Wells reassumes the prophet's mantle in the January number* of "Cassel's Magazine." In the'first of a series of articles which will try to ' answer the questidn, "What is coming?" he suggests that the outcome of the war will probably be the creation of three .'iGreat States," wihich

may form the nucleus oil' a World State bringing universal peace.

Whatever appearance of separate soverignities are kept up after the war, the practical outcome of the struggle is ; quite likely to be this : that theire will be only three great world Powers left—the anti-German Allies, the Pan-AJmericans. . . .And thtese new powers will be in certain respects unlike any existing! European "States." None of the three powers will be small oir homogeneous enough to serve dynastic ambition, embody a national or racial Kitltur, or fall into the grip of any group of financial enterprises Thtey will be more comprehensive, less romantic, and more businesslike altogether.

No Personal Ambitions. Between these "great States" the war threat will, in Mr] Well's

opinion, be so plain and definite, the issue so lifted out of the

spheres of merely personal ambition and national feeling, that the standing conference of the three may ultimately produce the World Stated

; He. holds that the real operat- ! ing cause which is going on to brihg about this state of things [ is just that "inconclusive peace" which so many people dread. j "Germany, I believe, is going to be beaten," he says, "but riot ] completely crushed, by this war : ! she is going to be left militarist ! and united with Austria and ; Hungary, and unchanged in her; essential nature ; and out of that ' state of affairs comes, I believe ! the hope for an ultimate con- ! federation of the nations of the i earth. Because in the face of 4 ! league of the Central European ! Powers attempting recuperation,; ! cherishing revenge, dreaming of ! a renewal of the struggle, it her [ comes impossible for the British, the French, the Belgians, Russians, Italians, or Japanese to think any longer of settling their difference's by war among themselves. To do so will mean the creation or opportunity for the complete reinstatement of German militarism. It will open the door for a conclusive German hegemony. * Inter-State Congress. "Now, however clumsy and confused the; diplomacy of these present Allies may be (challenged constantly, as it-is, by democracy and tampered by a free venal, and irresponsible Press in at least three of their countries), the necessity they will be under will be so urgent and- so evident that it is impossible to imagine that they will not set up some permanent organ for the direction and co-ordination of their body at ficras; it may be-of a diplomatic pretension; it may be joint international relationships. It may be a queerly constituted body at first: it may be called a congress, or an old name [of that sort, but essentially its will be to conduct a joint, fiscal; military, and naval policy, to keep the peace in the Balkans and Asia, to establish a relationship with, China, and organise joint and several arbitration arrangements • with America*.

"And it must develop something more sure and swift than ■ pur present diplomacy. One of its chief concerns will be the ; right of way through the BosPhorus and the Dardanelles,; and the watching of the forces that stir up conflict in the Balkans and the Levant. It must have unity enough for that; it must be much more than a mere leisurely, unauthoritative conference of representatives." So far as purely material things go, Mr Wells—who foretold with, wonderful accuracy some of the most startling scientific achievements of to-day—pro-phesies "a general arrest in invention an«l enterprise" owing to the war's vast destruction of j capital and the fact that we are killing off tm_.ny of our brightest young men. »

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Bibliographic details

THREE GREAT WORLD POWERS., Akaroa Mail and Banks Peninsula Advertiser, Volume LXXV, Issue 3526, 29 February 1916

Word Count

THREE GREAT WORLD POWERS. Akaroa Mail and Banks Peninsula Advertiser, Volume LXXV, Issue 3526, 29 February 1916

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